AGI Futures & Geopolitics

ALSO : Perplexity's India Expansion

Hi Synapticians!

Imagine waking up after a technological breakthrough so powerful that it could reshape the global balance of power as radically as nuclear weapons once did. That is the starting point of the RAND Corporation’s new report, “How Artificial General Intelligence Could Affect the Rise and Fall of Nations.” The authors outline possible futures for artificial general intelligence, AGI, by crossing two key variables: whether its development is centralized or decentralized, and the degree of geopolitical advantage it grants to those who master it.

Among the eight futures described, two stand out as archetypes. First is the “Cold War 2” scenario. Washington and Beijing enter an AGI arms race reminiscent of the original Cold War, each side locking down its advances while a climate of distrust shapes international politics for the long term. In this tense world, every algorithmic breakthrough becomes a strategic asset comparable to the atomic bomb.

Next comes “The Wild Frontier.” AGI spreads like freely copyable software. Uncontrolled versions proliferate, from start‑ups to non‑state groups, and they overturn existing power hierarchies. Innovation accelerates, yet systemic risks explode: cyber‑attacks become easier, large‑scale disinformation spreads, and dangerous tools may fall into the hands of isolated actors.

These two narratives are not predictions but exercises in strategic foresight. They invite policymakers, entrepreneurs, and citizens to confront today the governance, security, and technology‑diffusion dilemmas that AGI will inevitably bring. To discover the six other trajectories, and to understand the policy levers that could guide history toward a safer horizon, we recommend reading the full report.

Here’s the rest of the news about AI today:

  • Trump advisors are advocating for a new regulation aimed at ensuring AI models remain free from political influence

  • Perplexity is expanding into India to compete with OpenAI, partnering with Bharti Airtel to offer free subscriptions to millions

  • Vibemarketing is the new hype!

Top AI news

1. How Artificial General Intelligence Could Reshape Global Power
The latest RAND report sketches eight vivid scenarios in which the degree of centralisation in AGI development (and who ends up controlling it) drives radically different geopolitical outcomes. From a democratic tech boom to authoritarian dominance, or even an “AGI coup,” the study warns that choices made now will shape whether nations rise, fall, or lose control altogether. Policymakers therefore need to plan for both likely paths and low‑probability, high‑impact tail risks. Read online 🕶️

2. Trump Advisors Target 'Woke' AI Models Regulation
Trump advisors are advocating for a new regulation aimed at ensuring AI models remain free from political influence. This move targets what they describe as 'woke' AI models, raising questions about the definition of neutrality and the potential impact on innovation and diversity in the tech sector. Read online 🕶️

3. Perplexity's Strategic Move into India's AI Market
Perplexity is expanding into India to compete with OpenAI, partnering with Bharti Airtel to offer free subscriptions to millions. This strategic move aims to capture the vast Indian market, leveraging its tech-savvy population. However, monetizing this user base remains challenging in a price-sensitive market, requiring innovative strategies to convert growth into revenue. Read online 🕶️

4. A definitive guide to Vibe Marketing and AI customer acquisition
This guide demystifies 'Vibe Marketing,' the powerful intersection of no-code 'Vibe Coding' and AI agent workflows. It explains why this trend offers an unfair advantage by making sophisticated, automated marketing accessible to non-developers. The video breaks down key concepts, distinguishing between simple workflows and goal-oriented AI agents that leverage tools and data. It showcases practical examples, from creating viral content from Reddit posts to building a one-click CRM for outreach. Viewers will learn which tools to use, like Claude, Gumloop, and Vapi, and receive actionable prompts to start acquiring customers with AI immediately. Read online 🕶️

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